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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

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Inside Elections Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

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March 5, 2026 ← MT SENATE II R S. Daines Solid R to Likely R

January 12, 2026 ← AK SENATE II R Sullivan Solid R to Lean R

December 5, 2025 ← CA-48 R D. Issa OPEN Toss-up to Tilt D ← FL-07 R Mills Solid R to Likely R ← IL-17 D Sorensen Likely D to Solid D ← MA-01 D Neal Likely D to Solid D ← MI-03 D Scholten Likely D to Solid D ← MI-04 R Huizenga Likely R to Lean R ← MI-08 D McDonald Rivet Tilt D to Lean D ← MN-02 D Craig OPEN Lean D to Likely D ← NE-02 R D. Bacon OPEN Toss-up to Tilt D ← NY-18 D Ryan Likely D to Solid D ← NY-22 D Mannion Likely D to Solid D → OH-01 D Landsman Tilt D to Toss-up ← OH-13 D Sykes Lean D to Likely D ← OR-05 D Bynum Likely D to Solid D ← PA-01 R Fitzpatrick Likely R to Lean R ← TN-05 R Ogles Solid R to Likely R → TN-07 R Van Epps Lean R to Solid R ← VA-01 R Wittman Likely R to Lean R ← NV-04 D Horsford Lean D to Likely D

November 6, 2025 ← AL PRESIDENT Solid R to Solid D

October 22, 2025 → NH SENATE II D J. Shaheen OPEN Lean D to Tilt D

August 28, 2025 → AZ GOVERNOR D Hobbs Battleground D to Toss-up → GA GOVERNOR R Kemp OPEN Battleground R to Tilt R → IA GOVERNOR R Reynolds OPEN Battleground R to Likely R → KS GOVERNOR D Kelly OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up ← ME GOVERNOR D Mills OPEN Battleground D to Likely D → MI GOVERNOR D Whitmer OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up → NV GOVERNOR R Lombardo Battleground R to Tilt R ← NM GOVERNOR D Lujan Grisham OPEN Battleground D to Likely D ← NY GOVERNOR D Hochul Battleground D to Likely D ← PA GOVERNOR D Shapiro Battleground D to Likely D → WI GOVERNOR D Evers Battleground D to Toss-up

August 12, 2025 ← OH SENATE III R Husted Solid R to Lean R

July 24, 2025 → ME SENATE II R Collins Battleground R to Tilt R → MI SENATE II D Peters OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up ← NC SENATE II R Tillis OPEN Battleground R to Toss-up ← TX SENATE II R Cornyn Solid R to Likely R → GA SENATE II D T. Ossoff Battleground D to Toss-up ← MN SENATE II D T. Smith OPEN Battleground D to Lean D

February 6, 2025 → NH GOVERNOR R Ayotte Toss-up to Solid R

April 26, 2023 → FL PRESIDENT Tilt D to Lean R → MN PRESIDENT Likely D to Lean D → NH PRESIDENT Likely D to Lean D

March 5, 2026 ← MT SENATE II R S. Daines Solid R to Likely R

January 12, 2026 ← AK SENATE II R Sullivan Solid R to Lean R

December 5, 2025 ← CA-48 R D. Issa OPEN Toss-up to Tilt D ← FL-07 R Mills Solid R to Likely R ← IL-17 D Sorensen Likely D to Solid D ← MA-01 D Neal Likely D to Solid D ← MI-03 D Scholten Likely D to Solid D ← MI-04 R Huizenga Likely R to Lean R ← MI-08 D McDonald Rivet Tilt D to Lean D ← MN-02 D Craig OPEN Lean D to Likely D ← NE-02 R D. Bacon OPEN Toss-up to Tilt D ← NY-18 D Ryan Likely D to Solid D ← NY-22 D Mannion Likely D to Solid D → OH-01 D Landsman Tilt D to Toss-up ← OH-13 D Sykes Lean D to Likely D ← OR-05 D Bynum Likely D to Solid D ← PA-01 R Fitzpatrick Likely R to Lean R ← TN-05 R Ogles Solid R to Likely R → TN-07 R Van Epps Lean R to Solid R ← VA-01 R Wittman Likely R to Lean R ← NV-04 D Horsford Lean D to Likely D

November 6, 2025 ← AL PRESIDENT Solid R to Solid D

October 22, 2025 → NH SENATE II D J. Shaheen OPEN Lean D to Tilt D

August 28, 2025 → AZ GOVERNOR D Hobbs Battleground D to Toss-up → GA GOVERNOR R Kemp OPEN Battleground R to Tilt R → IA GOVERNOR R Reynolds OPEN Battleground R to Likely R → KS GOVERNOR D Kelly OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up ← ME GOVERNOR D Mills OPEN Battleground D to Likely D → MI GOVERNOR D Whitmer OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up → NV GOVERNOR R Lombardo Battleground R to Tilt R ← NM GOVERNOR D Lujan Grisham OPEN Battleground D to Likely D ← NY GOVERNOR D Hochul Battleground D to Likely D ← PA GOVERNOR D Shapiro Battleground D to Likely D → WI GOVERNOR D Evers Battleground D to Toss-up

August 12, 2025 ← OH SENATE III R Husted Solid R to Lean R

July 24, 2025 → ME SENATE II R Collins Battleground R to Tilt R → MI SENATE II D Peters OPEN Battleground D to Toss-up ← NC SENATE II R Tillis OPEN Battleground R to Toss-up ← TX SENATE II R Cornyn Solid R to Likely R → GA SENATE II D T. Ossoff Battleground D to Toss-up ← MN SENATE II D T. Smith OPEN Battleground D to Lean D

February 6, 2025 → NH GOVERNOR R Ayotte Toss-up to Solid R

April 26, 2023 → FL PRESIDENT Tilt D to Lean R → MN PRESIDENT Likely D to Lean D → NH PRESIDENT Likely D to Lean D

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