Control of the House of Representatives ultimately came down to a group of voters smaller than the crowd at a Texas high school football game. And by at least one metric, 2024 was the closest race for control of the House in recent history. The battle was a hard-fought, race-by-race slog that remained wide open […]
The second time isn’t always the charm. In nearly half of the most competitive House races of 2024, one or both of the major nominees were repeat candidates. But while returning House hopefuls often bring real advantages to the table — they can avoid expensive primaries, have existing donor networks, and sometimes even have residual […]
The 2024 elections were going to humble one party, and voters called Democrats to the carpet. It will take days to get final results and probably weeks before there’s a full understanding of what happened, but there are more than a few points that can be made in the wake of elections. History Making Donald […]
It’s never wise to jump to conclusions based on any single poll. But it would be foolish to ignore results from a quality pollster. Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to […]
Northeast Pennsylvania’s Matt Cartwright is the only Democrat in Congress to win two elections while Donald Trump carried his district at the top of the ticket. A new Noble Predictive Insights poll conducted for Inside Elections shows Cartwright, who represents Pennsylvania’s 8th District, is well-positioned to continue that streak in 2024. While the Scranton trial […]
Arizona voters already faced a gauntlet of competitive races this fall, from a toss-up presidential contest to a high-profile Senate race and two of the most expensive House races in the country. But another election may be asserting itself in the closing weeks of the cycle, according to new polling by Noble Predictive Insights for […]