Analysis

4217 Results

Special Elections Confirm Changed Political Environment

With 19 months to go before the midterm elections, it’s too early to know what the political environment will be like in November 2026 and too early to project whether Republicans will maintain control of Congress.  But we do know that the political environment has changed since Donald Trump and the Republicans won full control […]

House Redistricting Status Update

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Four Districts that Could Feature Sleeper House Races

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New Jersey Governor: Garden State Gaggle

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Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus

A special election in Central Florida to fill National Security Advisor Michael Waltz’s congressional seat is attracting a crush of national spending and attention in its final week. Republicans remain favored to hold Florida’s 6th Congressional District, albeit by a narrower margin than the district’s underlying partisanship would suggest. Elsewhere in the state, Republicans should […]

Florida Special Elections Come Into Focus

A special election in Central Florida to fill National Security Advisor Michael Waltz’s congressional seat is attracting a crush of national spending and attention in its final week. Republicans remain favored to hold Florida’s 6th Congressional District, albeit by a narrower margin than the district’s underlying partisanship would suggest. Elsewhere in the state, Republicans should […]

Colorado 8: Centennial State Showdown

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Iowa 1: Third Time’s a Charm?

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Report Shorts (March 20, 2025)

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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen Retirement Creates Open Seat

New Hampshire Democrat Jeanne Shaheen will not run for a fourth term, complicating her party’s already difficult path back to the Senate majority next year. While New Hampshire was already on the Senate battleground, Shaheen’s decision could set off a prolonged and difficult primary between several prominent Democrats and entice stronger GOP recruits into the […]