Analysis

4238 Results

Oklahoma Senate: Mullin Appointment Could Create Ripple Effect

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin President Donald Trump’s nomination of GOP Sen. Markwayne Mullin to be the next Secretary of Homeland Security is big news for the president’s cabinet, but it doesn’t likely alter the fight for Oklahoma’s Senate seat — or the majority — all that much.  Unlike the situation in Montana […]

Montana Senate: Daines’ Drop Inserts Uncertainty

Montana Sen. Steve Daines ended his re-election bid just minutes before the filing deadline Wednesday in a move coordinated with US Attorney Kurt Alme, who filed at the same time and effectively clinched the GOP nomination without any other hopefuls having the opportunity to declare for the surprise open seat. Daines, who served two terms […]

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

By Jacob Rubashkin and Nathan L. Gonzales Voters in Texas, North Carolina and Arkansas officially kicked off the 2026 election cycle with a large and exciting slate of important primaries. The matchup is officially set in one of the marquee Senate races in the country (North Carolina) and a vulnerable incumbent is still alive in […]

First-Time Candidates Enter the Ring in Key House Race

BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP, MI — By the time the main event began, the packed high school gym was almost too hazy to see the fighters in the ring. But for the hundreds of men and handful of women at Brother Rice High School, the boxing at Boxing Night was a secondary attraction at best, after the […]

Texas: Republicans, Democrats Face Critical Early Primaries

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Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

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House: Money Isn’t Enough to Save Incumbents in Wave Elections

Fundraising is a critical part of winning reelection, but sometimes incumbents have political problems that money can’t fix.  When voter sentiment is against you, outspending your opponent isn’t sufficient to survive an electoral wave. This is important context when analyzing campaign fundraising reports. While there can be confusion over what constitutes a wave election, 2010 […]

Georgia Senate: Republicans Try to Take Back Ground

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Georgia Senate: Republicans Try to Take Back Ground

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Pennsylvania 8: Paiging the Incumbent

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