Analysis

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What You Heard About ‘Conservative Democrats’ Winning Was Wrong

It quickly has become conventional wisdom that last week’s Democratic House victory swept in a crop of moderate and conservative Democrats who’ll both keep party liberals in check and help remake the image of the party of former Vice President Al Gore, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) and soon-to-be Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). Well, I met […]

Pelosi Stumbles Out of the Blocks

Yes, I know. Leadership fights on Capitol Hill are the ultimate political insider contests. Voters don’t care about them, and once they are over, they are quickly forgotten. Having said that, Nancy Pelosi’s decision to pick a public fight with her second in command, Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer, is so incomprehensible, so politically stupid that […]

GOP Moderates and Conservatives Ready to Do Battle

In the past, it’s been the AFL-CIO against the Democratic Leadership Council. But not this year. This time, the conservative and moderate wings of the Republican Party have the pleasure of blaming and pointing fingers at each other for the party’s loss. The blame game remains a staple in Washington, D.C., but it has been […]

As Predicted, a Wave Washes Republicans Out to Sea

Well, don’t say we didn’t warn you. Tuesday’s balloting was about what we expected. A relatively large political wave swept almost 30 House Republicans out of office and appears to have delivered the Senate to Democrats. Of course, we won’t know the status of control of the Senate for a while, but whatever happens in […]

Turn Back the Clock: Rothenberg Report on CNN Nov. 2

You know you’ve arrived when you’re on both the Situation Room and YouTube. It’s all downhill from here. Anyway, here’s a clip of our election predictions from November 2.

Down to the Wire: Expect a Big Night for Democrats

This column is available free at RollCall.com for a limited time. With only a few hours remaining until the votes start being counted, there is little uncertainty about the fight for the House, except for questions about exactly which Republican incumbents will be lucky enough to survive. Polls over the past few weeks have seen […]

2006 Election Night Viewer Guide

Even for the diehard political junkie, following ninety races for the House, Senate, and governor on Election Night would be quite a feat. So, here is a simple game plan for tackling November 7, to give you a good idea as to what’s happening nationwide. 7pm (EST) – The House Kentucky 4 – Rep. Geoff […]

Just Hours Until Democratic Gains

With less than a week to go before Election Day, we now know the GOP’s October surprise: Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.). And you wondered why White House political guru Karl Rove sounded so upbeat and certain that Republicans would hold both chambers of Congress? Kerry, who already destroyed one election for his party, apparently is […]

Excerpts from Latest Print Edition

Here are some excerpts from the new November 2 print edition of The Rothenberg Political Report. (To subscribe, click here.) The Senate: “While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in […]

State Legislature Ratings

The Rothenberg Political Report is changing its call on three legislative chambers: the New Hampshire Senate and the Michigan House and Senate. All three are held by the Republicans, and while all three will continue to lean to the GOP, there is now a real possibility that some or all of them could be taken […]