Little has changed in the outlook for the state legislatures since the Rothenberg Political Report published its last rankings on July 7. The only ratings change is in the Alaska Senate, where allegations of corruption involving a number of politicians – including Senate President Ben Stevens, the son of U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens (R-Alaska) – […]
Democratic pollsters are pushing lots of polls that show second- and third-tier candidates performing surprisingly well. If most of these challengers win, the Democrats will gain 30 or 40 House seats. Obviously, that’s unlikely. Extremely unlikely. So what are we all supposed to make of Democratic polling memos asserting that Paul Hodes (New Hampshire’s 2nd), […]
The new September 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. This issues contains updated news and ratings on the Senate, the House, and races for Governor. In the Senate, we moved two races (click here for our ratings):-Pennsylvania from Lean Takeover to […]
The new September 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. This issues contains updated news and ratings on the Senate, the House, and races for Governor. In the Senate, we moved two races (click here for our ratings):-Pennsylvania from Lean Takeover to […]
The ink on my Sept. 18 column warning against overreaction to new polling and alleged “surges” had not yet dried when USA Today released its newest Gallup Poll, predictably asserting the existence of an alleged Republican surge. Others quickly joined the chorus. First, let’s stipulate that recent polling has shown some improvement in Republican numbers, […]
We’re only a couple weeks into the post-Labor Day sprint to November, and many voters are only now taking the time to see who is running in November. As a whole, Republican congressional incumbents are starting off in a weaker position this cycle compared to previous cycles, and even unknown Democratic challengers have already solidified […]
Recent developments have improved Democrats’ prospects in their fight to take the Senate, with the Republican hold on the chamber looking more tenuous than even a month ago. While the renomination of Rhode Island Sen. Lincoln Chafee has improved GOP chances of holding onto his seat, Virginia Sen. George Allen’s ongoing problems have put a […]
It’s a good idea to try to anticipate the ups and downs of this election cycle’s stretch run, so when the inevitable stories about a Republican “surge” hit the newspapers, you won’t be taken completely by surprise. First, this is the kind of cycle when long-shot challengers suddenly appear, even as late as mid-October. If […]
By Nathan L. Gonzales Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don’t possess — he knows what its like to be a […]
Many Republicans this cycle are heading into uncharted waters. Members of Congress like Curt Weldon (PA-7) are facing their first reelection challenge in a couple of decades. But Weldon may have one piece of inspiration that many of his colleagues don’t possess — he knows what its like to be a member of the minority […]