By Stuart Rothenberg Over the past year or so, I’ve heard more than a few people talking about 2006 as an anti-incumbent election. Well, those people are wrong. We are not going to have an anti-incumbent election in November. We are going to have an anti-Bush election. First, let’s get our terms straight. If “anti-incumbent […]
It is now clear that when the dust settles on Nov. 8, Democrats will find themselves holding a majority of governorships for the first time since the 1994 midterm elections, when Democratic ranks across the nation were decimated. While Republicans currently hold 28 of the nation’s 50 governorships, Democrats are likely to gain from four […]
Former Rep. Ciro Rodriguez (D-TX) is as decisive as a kid in a candy store when it comes to his congressional bids. The former congressman bowed out of the race in Texas 23 early last week, citing family reasons and the inability to raise the necessary funds. Then, through a spokesman, Rodriguez reconsidered the race, […]
I began this year rating the Tennessee Senate race between Democrat Harold Ford Jr. and Republican Bob Corker as “Clear Advantage” for the GOP, primarily because of the state’s recent political trends, concerns about how Ford’s race and family might affect his prospects, and assumptions about the appeal of a mainstream conservative such as Corker. […]
The new September 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land Right now, Democrats must hold all of their seats and win their five top opportunities to have any chance of winning a Senate majority. […]
The new September 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. For subscription information- click here. Senate Overview – The Lay of the Land Right now, Democrats must hold all of their seats and win their five top opportunities to have any chance of winning a Senate majority. […]
In a recent edition of my newsletter, I dissected, analyzed and evaluated dozens of districts in the fight for the House of Representatives and concluded what many of us have been assuming for weeks — Democrats are poised to gain 15 to 20 seats, giving them control of the House. The 15- to 20-seat range, […]
In this case, the strategy has been employed by National Republican Congressional Committee Communications Director Carl Forti, who chose to try to discredit me (and Charlie Cook) in a September 5 press release. Why? Because I have concluded that Democrats are likely to make significant House gains, including potentially winning at least the 15 seats […]
Democrats need to net fifteen seats on November 7 in order to win a majority in the House. And that’s not an unreasonable goal, give that in the most recent edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, we predicted Democrats to gain between 15 and 20 seats. But everyone (party strategists, journalists, and handicappers alike) should […]
Newsflash! President Bush is unpopular. No wonder Democrats across the country are dutifully attempting to tie every Republican candidate to their unpopular leader. But most Republicans are under no illusions about the President’s standing or mood of the electorate. They know voters are hostile. Instead of embracing the President and featuring themselves arm-in-arm with the […]