Analysis

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The DSCC’s Glass House

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee fired off an indignant press release Thursday on the heels of a Philadelphia Inquirer story detailing the work history of Christopher Lyon, a opposition researcher for New Jersey Senate nominee Tom Kean, Jr. (R). Lyon’s work experience includes research for the 1988 Willie Horton ad, which effectively demonized Democratic presidential […]

U.S. Politics Through an Israeli Looking Glass

A recent trip to Israel got me thinking about a question that I can safely say I had never considered before: If it plays well in Petah Tikva, a Tel Aviv suburb, can it also play in Peoria, Ill.? The Israeli political system is very different from ours, since it is a parliamentary system. But […]

New Print Edition: New Jersey Senate & Ohio 15

The new July 14, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) New Jersey Senate: It Depends on Your Definition of ChangeBy Nathan L. Gonzales In the New Jersey Senate race, both candidates are claiming to be the candidate for change. The winner of […]

Where’s Newt: Is He or Isn’t He Running for President?

Newt Gingrich is running for president. Well, sort of running. He’ll run if it looks like he has a chance to win. But he won’t really start running — if he runs at all — until later next year. But in the meantime, he is doing what needs to get done in case he does […]

Texas 22: Two Scenarios Provide Different Prospects

The recent news in Texas 22 doesn’t change the outlook for the seat in November…yet. With former House majority leader Tom DeLay (R-TX) on the ballot, the race would immediately move to at least a toss-up race, if not closer to Rep. Bob Ney (R-OH) in the lean takeover category. Ney is in all sorts […]

The Dog Days of Summer

School’s out for summer and families are headed for vacation, and the average American is more likely to contemplate the acceptable number of daily sunscreen applications rather than getting into the weeds of the immigration policy and stances of two congressional candidates. But even though people’s attention will be largely diverted away from politics in […]

New Print Edition: Handicapping the State Legislatures

The new July 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Handicapping the State Legislatures: A 50-State Status ReportBy Louis Jacobson Both Democrats and Republicans agree: Despite the possibility of a wave at the national level, the fight to control the state legislatures […]

In Political Waves, Tide Doesn’t Rise to Same Level in Every State

The last major national political wave, in 1994, didn’t sweep over all areas of the country with equal force. In some states, Congressional Democrats suffered minimal losses, while in others Democratic House seats fell in bunches. For Democrats to take the House this year, they may need one or two states to deliver a significant […]

Utah 3: Not So fast, Congressman Tancredo!

Congressman Chris Cannon, Republican of Utah’s 3rd District, was staggered, but he didn’t go down for the count. Instead, it was businessman John Jacob, whose anti-immigration campaign was backed by Colorado GOP Congressman Tom Tancredo, who was knocked out by Republican primary voters on June 27. Cannon must be getting used to primary challenges. Two […]

Presidential Races Taking on Chess Match Quality

As in chess, where a competitor decides what to do based on his or her opponent’s moves, Republican and Democratic primary voters and caucus attendees are likely to spend as much time in 2007 and early 2008 watching their opponents as thinking about their own choices. Since both parties are placing an unusually high priority […]