Analysis

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Not Everything Bush Does Is About the Christian Right

This is a true story. The names have been changed to protect the — well, just because I’d rather not name names. The other day I received a telephone call from a producer at a television network. The caller inquired about whether I might be available to do an interview for a story scheduled to […]

Florida Senate: Is $10 Million Enough?

With Rep. Katherine Harris (R-FL) pledging to sell the farm and put $10 million of her own money into the Florida Senate race, it’s fair to reevaluate her chances of knocking off Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL). From the beginning, Republican insiders believed that Harris was simply unelectable statewide. The polarizing nature of the 2000 presidential […]

Ohio 18: Going, Going, Gone?

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Ohio 13: Playing Catch-Up

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Pennsylvania Senate: First One to Fall

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New Print Edition: PA Senate, OH13&18

The new March 24, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Pennsylvania Senate: First One to FallBy Nathan L. Gonzales There is no presidential race this year, but Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate Race may be the next best thing. Up to this point, the […]

An Empire State Headache for Republicans?

Looking for a sign of whether a big Democratic wave is developing? Try New York. Once a state with genuine political competitiveness where liberal Republicans (including Thomas Dewey, Jacob Javits, Nelson Rockefeller and Ken Keating) prospered, the Empire State has veered toward the Democrats over the past few decades. Yes, New York Republicans have now […]

New York 24: Boehlert (R) Retirement Only a Small Opportunity

Another Republican retirement. Another Republican open seat. But while Democratic strategists will try to make Congressman Sherwood “Sherry” Boehlert’s retirement into an opportunity for a takeover, the Upstate New York district is likely to remain in GOP hands in November. State Sen. Ray Meier (R) has decided to run for Boehlert’s seat, and while a […]

Local vs. National

House Republicans are embracing former House Speaker Tip O’Neill’s famous line, “All politics is local,” but history suggests they may be taking it to their electoral grave. Midterm elections in 1966, 1974, 1982, and 1994 certainly weren’t local – they were national. Back-to-back briefings by National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Reynolds (NY) and Democratic […]

The Political Environment Isn’t George Allen’s Friend

The brief stay by Sen. George Allen (R-Va.) as my frontrunner in the race for the Republican presidential nomination is over. It was much, much shorter than I expected. But Allen, a first-term Senator who served as governor of the commonwealth of Virginia, didn’t lose that status because of his third-place showing in the Southern […]