Analysis

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Is the Public’s Mood on Automatic Pilot Until the Fall?

It’s the end of February, still more than eight months before November’s midterm elections. That’s an eternity in politics, and it’s one reason why Republicans remain optimistic that they can turn public opinion more in their favor than it is now. But on issue after issue, public opinion seems to have solidified against President Bush, […]

Port Security Frenzy: Real Concern or Real Grandstanding?

While Democrats and Republicans vent their anger over the Bush Administration’s decision to allow a United Arab Emirates-based company from taking “control” of America’s east coast ports (from a British company), I have a question: Exactly what responsibility and authority does this UAE company have? Specifically, how is U.S. security weakened? I don’t know, and […]

A Dumb Mistake May Cost Democrats

For months, Democratic insiders have been touting their candidate in Ohio’s 6th District, state Senator Charlie Wilson. They’ve been arguing that the socially conservative Democrat fits the district perfectly, and that he will easily hold retiring Congressman Ted Strickland’s open House seat in Southeastern Ohio. But Wilson and his campaign team apparently have trouble with […]

West Virginia Senate: Generations

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New Print Edition: WV Senate & TX 22

The new February 24, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) West Virginia Senate: GenerationsBy Nathan L. Gonzales It was almost smooth sailing to a record ninth term for the longest-serving member of the U.S Senate, West Virginia’s Robert C. Byrd (D). After […]

Texas 22: The Big One

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2006: The Year of Changing Your Mind in Politics

OK, so I really don’t expect a lot of consistency from politicians. They change their positions and their arguments from cycle to cycle. But this cycle, change has become the rule in more ways than one. At least two candidates have turned down pleas to run for Congress, only to change their minds after others […]

Hillary’s Hurdles

There is no question Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) is running for president in 2008. Senators don’t normally raise $33 million to run for reelection against a nominal opponent. But there are a number of large hurdles Clinton must jump before she can be elected. Too often the focus is on just one of her challenges, […]

When Events Matter

While journalists and political junkies watch each day’s news with an eye to see who is winning and who is losing — who is moving up and who is moving down — the reality is that most days come and go without any real movement. Americans don’t dissect the news the way a compulsive blogger […]

Rothenberg’s 10 Most Endangered House Incumbents

This is one of the more difficult lists that I have tried to create over the years. Many of the incumbents on this list have proven their political mettle before, and in normal circumstances, they wouldn’t be in all that much trouble. Others find themselves in the sort of hot water that should automatically sink […]