Analysis

1217 Results

Is Rasmussen Better Than its Reputation?

There isn’t a lot of consensus in Washington, D.C., but party operatives on both sides of the aisle as well as members of the media seem to be united in their distrust of polls conducted by Rasmussen Reports. But with new polling by a Democratic firm in three key states showing identical results, is it […]

Debt: One Campaign Issue Parties Are Very Familiar With

Even with the economy and ballooning national debt at the top of voters’ minds this fall, don’t be surprised when the Republican and Democratic campaign committees dig into the red to help pay for expensive television ads across the country. Extending a line of credit is a common practice for the House and Senate party […]

Washington Senate: Painting the Evergreen State Red?

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Mixed News in Tuesday’s Results

Tuesday’s results were an uncomfortable reminder to strategists in both parties that this is a strange election cycle. While the surprises were on the Republican side, they confirm a level of dissatisfaction, at least on the political right, with politics as usual and established politicians. Certainly many current and former officeholders won nomination, including Sen. […]

Ohio Senate Race Moved to Toss-Up/Tilt Republican

Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) remains unreasonably optimistic about his prospects in the Senate race given his financial disadvantages, his standing in the polls, his campaign staff turnover and the national political environment. While Republican Rob Portman’s record certainly gives plenty for Democrats to shoot at, Fisher’s problems seem even larger. Because of that, we […]

Is Michelle Obama Democrats’ Secret Weapon?

“The White House is hoping that Michelle can do for Barack what Laura did for George and the GOP four years ago,” wrote Washington Post political reporter Nia-Malika Henderson recently, in an August 11, 2010 article that reported on efforts to get the First Lady heavily involved in this year’s midterm elections. The piece noted […]

Wisconsin Senate: Declaration of Independence

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Smoot’s Charge: Hold at Least 50 Senate Seats

Last in a series of profiles of committee independent expenditure directors. Democratic operative Brian Smoot has been in tough spots before, but preserving the Democratic majority in the Senate this fall tops the list. As director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s independent expenditure effort, Smoot will oversee tens of millions in spending without coordination […]

Ratings Changes in WV, FL, NV, & WI Senate races

West Virginia (Open; Goodwin, D) — Add as Democrat Favored Senator Robert Byrd’s death has created a special election to fill the remaining two years of his term. Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin is likely to win his party’s nomination in the August 28 primary, while businessman/former state GOP chairman John Raese and attorney Mac Warner […]

Jersey Native Looks to Shore up GOP Senate Majority

Third in a series of profiles of committee independent expenditure directors. “If it wasn’t for Mike DuHaime, I wouldn’t be a Senator today,” New Jersey state Sen. Anthony Bucco (R) recalled recently about a campaign that took place almost 13 years ago. After this year’s elections, more than a dozen GOP Senate candidates might be […]