While there is no evidence that a national partisan wave will develop between now and Nov. 6, there is every reason to expect a number of “state waves” that will prove to be challenging for some candidates – and for political handicappers. In fact, candidates' abilities to fight through the waves in a handful of […]
Democrats started licking their chops moments after Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney announced that he had selected Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan to be his running mate. Whether the reaction came from the national party's House and Senate campaign committees, President Barack Obama's re-election campaign or individual Democratic campaigns around the country, the message was the […]
Not long ago, Democrats had it all: the first African-American president sitting in the Oval Office, the first female Speaker of the House and even a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. Four years later, the only remaining piece – the presidency – might be taken away from them. “The road ahead will be long. Our […]
CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Democratic strategists are cautiously optimistic that they will maintain their Senate majority, but, absent an unforeseen political wave, the party will do battle in a series of local contests where an asset in one state might be a hurdle in another. “Voters of Wisconsin don’t have any idea what Thompson has been […]
In the wake of GOP nominee Todd Akin’s media meltdown, it’s not just Missouri that appears to be trending away from Republicans lately. After moving the Show-Me State to Pure Toss-Up last week, we are moving it again, to Lean Democrat. Akin, who held a double-digit lead before he made his infamous comments about rape […]
TAMPA, Fla. — Sen. Scott Brown (R) may need a half a million Obama voters to get re-elected in Massachusetts, but that’s not keeping him away from appearing at the Republican Party’s biggest event. “Mitt Romney is his friend,” said Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior advisor to both Brown and the former Massachusetts governor, in an […]
Less than two years ago, Republican Linda McMahon drew just 43 percent of the vote in Connecticut’s Senate race after spending over $50 million on her candidacy. Given that showing, there was little reason to believe than another run by McMahon, a businesswoman who ran a professional wrestling entertainment company, would produce a better result. […]
Two weeks ago, we were preparing to move the Missouri Senate race from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican, if either businessman John Brunner or former state treasurer Sarah Steelman had won the GOP Senate primary on August 7 and the right to face Sen. Claire McCaskill (D). Now, after Republican Senate nominee Rep. Todd Akin’s […]